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Adjusting for Climate Chainge: Who Will Pay the Price?

By Roy Wilkes  / May 2007 issue of Socialist Action newspaper

 

 

REVIEW: George Monbiot, “Heat,” published by Allen Lane, 2006.

 

The importance of George Monbiot’s latest book "Heat," and the reason why every socialist should read it is that it raises the level of debate on the politics of climate change, as well as on the science and technology. What the book lacks, however, is a class analysis of the issue.

 

Monbiot, viewing the world through the prism of the English middle class, assumes that all of us enjoy the unprecedented luxuries and comforts that are afforded by "our" exploitation of fossil fuel, that all of us are equally responsible, as "carbon emitters," for the environmental crisis. In reality of course, it is the ruling class that has made a Faustian pact with the devil, leaving the rest of us staring into the flames of hell as we pay the price for its profligacy.

 

Monbiot calculates that global emissions of carbon dioxide will need to be cut by at least 60 percent by 2030. (And in the rich countries, which are by far the biggest polluters, an average of around 90 percent will be needed.) If we fail to achieve this target, temperatures could well rise above the critical 2C degree threshold.

 

Beyond this "tipping point," positive feedback effects come into play, irreversibly driving temperatures still higher. Ice caps melt; ocean currents fail; huge quantities of methane are released from the permafrosts and from the ocean beds; tropical rainforests desiccate and burn. And from there we enter the uncharted territory of chaotic and cataclysmic change, to both the climate and the ecosystems on which we and every other species depend. Mass extinctions would follow, probably on a scale not seen since the end of the Permian period.

 

But Monbiot remains optimistic; he doesn’t claim, as some climate apocalyptics do, that it is already too late. And in "Heat" he sets out to demonstrate the practical steps that would be needed to achieve that 90 percent cut in emissions.

 

Little of this is new science. Climate scientists have been warning about the dangers of high atmospheric carbon levels for many years. So why have we, or more importantly our governments, been so slow to act?

 

Monbiot exposes the role of fossil fuel corporations in promoting an entire industry of climate denial. In reality there is a remarkable consensus among serious scientists (those required to publish peer-reviewed studies) about climate change. The sole aim of the deniers is to cast doubt on this consensus.

 

Carbon rationing

 

Monbiot advocates carbon rationing as the main mechanism for achieving the 90 percent cut. Green taxes wouldn‘t deliver, and neither would they be equitable. Instead, we should calculate a fair allocation and issue each person with carbon units, which he prefers to call "ice caps." He believes that this measure would automatically stimulate a market for low-carbon technologies, such as public transport and renewable energy.

 

We could make a good start on the 90 percent target simply by reducing the amount of energy that is currently wasted. Monbiot explains that our houses are in effect "warm air tunnels, which keep us warm incidentally, as the heat pours past us and into the street."

 

Building regulations are extremely lax, and even those regulations that do exist are poorly enforced. We could easily build houses that are so well insulated as to require no active heating systems at all, such as the Passivhaus developed in Germany in the eighties.

 

Supermarkets are another example of the profligate waste of energy: huge, poorly insulated structures, with hot air blowers endlessly competing with open, doorless fridges and freezers. Monbiot suggests that supermarkets should be replaced with warehouses that deliver directly to households.

 

We will, of course, still need to generate energy, however efficiently we use it. Nuclear power is discussed by Monbiot but dismissed, rightly in my view, as being too dangerous in the long term. Carbon capture, which would enable us to continue burning natural gas without releasing carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, is more promising.

 

Wind, solar, wave, and tidal energy are all subjected to a rigorous appraisal. The development of efficient high voltage DC cables would help to make wave power and offshore wind farms viable; they would also offer the possibility of turning deserts into vast solar farms whose energy could be distributed far and wide.

 

Transport is the second biggest contributor of greenhouse gases after housing, but it is, according to Monbiot, the easiest problem to fix. He provides a wonderful critique of the motor car, and of the way the image of "the freedom of the road" fails to live up to the reality.

 

The economist Alan Storkey has developed an innovative solution based on extending the coach network and moving coach stations out of city centers. Frequent high quality coaches would enable journeys to be completed more quickly and in greater comfort than can be achieved by clogging up the motorways with cars.

 

Air travel, however, gets a decisive thumbs down. Monbiot can find no way of squaring air travel with our need to reduce carbon emissions. Jet setting is one of the Faustian pleasures we will simply have to forego.

 

But the market is the obstacle

 

Monbiot tries to demonstrate that all of these measures can be achieved within the existing market system. He therefore avoids the most obvious conclusion, that the market is in every case the biggest obstacle to reducing emissions. Capital will always try to circumvent any measure that threatens its profitability, however good those measures are for the environment.

 

Monbiot’s targets will be achieved not by accommodating to capital but by confronting it. Instead of trying to regulate private coach and rail companies, for example, a simpler and far more effective solution would be to bring transport into public ownership and to allow its workers to run it as a service rather than as a means of generating profit. A massively expanded, free public transport system would end road congestion almost immediately.

 

The same logic applies to every other industry. Workers control of production would be far more effective at reducing emissions than decrees issued by a government via a civil service to private business.

 

Democratic planning would also enable us to transform social relations outside the workplace. By socialising domestic labour, for example, we could drastically reduce our energy consumption while simultaneously improving our quality of life. The only losers would be the capitalists who sell us our washing machines, microwaves and cookers.

 

Alliance with organized working class

 

Monbiot ends his book by calling on its readers to join the climate change movement. I would echo that call. Read the book and join the campaign. Hundreds of thousands of young people across the globe are already doing just that, fighting for their right to a future.

 

But the movement needs a clearer direction, and in particular it needs to build a strategic alliance with the organized working class, and especially with those workers engaged in power generation, motor manufacturing, public transport, retail, and construction.

 

Without such an alliance, the trade-union bureaucracy will set itself against the movement in the name of protecting members’ jobs. With it, we will have a serious chance of saving the planet, and of transforming social relations in the process.          

 

-This review appeared in the Spring 2007 issue of Socialist Outlook, journal of the International Socialist Group, British section of the Fourth International.

Human Needs, Not Profits!